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2024-12-13 11:41:31

Market news: The doctor said that the operation of Brazilian President Lula was successful.Fitch Ratings: US state and local governments are expected to return to normal in 2025.International oil prices rose on the 11th. As of the close of the day, the futures price of light crude oil for January 2025 in the New York Mercantile Exchange rose by $1.70 to close at $70.29 per barrel, an increase of 2.48%. London Brent crude oil futures for delivery in February 2025 rose by $1.33 to close at $73.52 per barrel, an increase of 1.84%.


Central Economic Work Conference: Next year, a more active fiscal policy will be implemented, the fiscal deficit ratio will be raised, and extra-long special government bonds will be issued. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The meeting pointed out that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, maintain a basic balance of international payments, and promote the simultaneous growth of residents' income and economic growth. The meeting demanded that next year, we should persist in striving for progress in stability, promoting stability through progress, keeping integrity and innovation, establishing before breaking, system integration and coordination. It is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and secure the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. (CCTV News)The US dollar index rose on the 11th. The US dollar index, which measures the US dollar against six major currencies, rose by 0.29% that day and closed at 106.710 in the foreign exchange market. As of the end of the new york foreign exchange market, 1 euro was exchanged for 1.0492 US dollars, lower than 1.0527 US dollars in the previous trading day; One pound was exchanged for $1.2745, down from $1.2774 in the previous trading day. One dollar was exchanged for 152.65 yen, higher than 151.93 yen in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for 0.8848 Swiss francs, higher than 0.8829 Swiss francs in the previous trading day; 1 dollar to 1.4162 Canadian dollars, down from 1.4165 Canadian dollars in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for SEK 10.9791, higher than SEK 10.9750 in the previous trading day.Adobe's annual performance guidance was worse than expected, and its share price fell more than 5% after hours. Adobe's adjusted EPS in the fourth quarter was $4.81, and analysts expected $4.67. Revenue in the fourth quarter was $5.61 billion, and analysts expected $5.54 billion. It is estimated that the adjusted EPS in FY 2025 will be $20.20-$20.50, and analysts expect $20.52. The adjusted EPS in the first fiscal quarter is expected to be $4.95-$5.00, and analysts expect $4.95. Adobe's U.S. stocks fell 1.81% after hours-the decline then expanded to 5.40%, and rose 0.38% before the performance report was released.


Dollar deposits and wealth management are popular again. Experts suggest paying attention to exchange risk. Although it is in the cycle of interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve, dollar deposit products are still attractive to investors. Since December, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have intensively put on shelves US dollar wealth management products. Judging from the rate of return, the performance benchmark of some US dollar fixed-income wealth management products currently launched is close to 5%, but the performance benchmark of RMB wealth management products with the same risk level is mostly around 2%. According to the statistics of Puyi standard data, as of December 9, there were 1,312 surviving products in US dollar financing, and the surviving scale of US dollar financing reached 281.927 billion yuan, which has doubled from the surviving scale of 140.351 billion yuan at the end of December last year. In addition, although banks have previously lowered the interest rate of dollar deposit products, from the current point of view, the interest rate of some banks' dollar deposits remains above 4%, attracting many customers to buy. In addition, the annual interest rates of US dollar deposit products issued by banks such as Ningbo Bank Co., Ltd. and hengfeng bank Co., Ltd. are also between 3% and 4%. According to industry insiders, under the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, the main reason for the high heat of dollar wealth management and dollar deposits is the exchange rate expectation of a strong dollar. If the market expects the US dollar to appreciate or remain stable, holding US dollar assets (such as US dollar wealth management and US dollar deposits) can benefit from the potential exchange rate appreciation even if interest rates fall. In addition, in order to diversify risks, some investors choose to allocate part of their funds to US dollar assets to realize diversification of asset allocation. (Securities Daily)Deputy Speaker of Poland: It is not in the interests of NATO and Poland to send troops to Ukraine. On December 12, local time, Baussac, deputy speaker of the Polish House of Representatives, said at a press conference that sending troops to Ukraine is not in the interests of Poland, the EU and NATO. He expressed firm opposition to this. On the same day, French President Mark Long will visit Warsaw and meet with Polish Prime Minister Tusk. It is reported that the leaders of the two countries will discuss the deployment of peacekeeping troops in Ukraine. When referring to this news, Baussac stressed that Poland must concentrate on strengthening its own defense capabilities, and Poland has not prepared for its own defense from the military to weapons. Baussac said that the Polish government should clearly and directly state its position and refuse to send troops to Ukraine. (CCTV News)The rate of return of the money fund has reached a record low. Since December, the rate of return of the money fund has continued to decline. The annualized rate of return of Tianhong Yubao Money Fund, the largest, fell below 1.27% on the 7th, hitting a record low. According to industry insiders, the recently released "Self-discipline Initiative on Optimizing the Self-discipline Management of Non-bank Interbank Deposit Interest Rate" has a great impact on the Monetary Fund, and the superimposed interest rate is at a low level, and the yield of the Monetary Fund may continue to decline. As the income decreases, funds will look for new directions for allocation. Wang Menghan, an analyst at Zheshang Securities, said that compared with similar products, the advantages of money funds are tax exemption, liquidity and stable net value. Among them, for institutional customers, there are still tax exemption and liquidity demands, so there is little demand for reducing the holdings of money funds. However, for non-institutional investors, because the stability of the net value of the money fund will be obviously weakened, there is a demand to reduce the holdings of the money fund. (SSE)

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